"'Nicolas Sarkozy heads for a huge parliamentary majority ... The UMP's share of parliamentary seats is likely to rise from 359 to 405-445, out of 577."
So said The Economist on 16 June, the day before the second-round elections. The actual result? A mere 313 seats for the UMP. Still an absolute majority, but miles below the prediction.
What went wrong? Possibly the new government's plans to increase VAT by 5%, notably missing from the presidential campaign. Even calling it 'social VAT' doesn't seem to have helped. Or maybe people just lie to polling agencies.
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